腹腔镜胆囊切除术后患者胃肠道症状的机器学习模型构建及验证
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河南科技大学第一附属医院开元院区 肝胆胰外科

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Construction and validation of machine learning model for gastrointestinal symptoms in patients after laparoscopic cholecystectomy
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Department of Hepatobiliary and Pancreatic Surgery

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    目的 构建评估腹腔镜胆囊切除术(laparoscopic cholecystectomy, LC)后患者胃肠道症状发生风险的机器学习的预测模型,并验证其预测效能。方法 回顾性纳入2022 年10月至2024 年10月接受LC治疗的96 例患者,并收集其临床资料。采用多重插补法处理缺失值,基于R语言构建随机森林(random forest, RF)、支持向量机(support vector machine, SVM)、极值梯度提升树(extreme gradient boosting, XGBoost)和逻辑回归(logistic regression, LR)模型,通过曲线下面积(area under the curve, AUC)、敏感度、特异度选取效能最高的模型,通过校准曲线进行验证。结果 术后72 h 内出现胃肠道症状者27 例(28.13%),无症状者69例(71.87%)。最小绝对收缩和选择算子(least absolute shrinkage and selection operator, LASSO)回归结果中选择了5个非零特征变量,包括年龄、手术时间、麻醉时间、胆囊壁厚度和术前C反应蛋白(C-reactive protein,CRP)。RF、XGBoost、LR和SVM的AUC分别为0.855、0.893、0.762和0.839,XGBoost 模型的敏感度(85.71%)与特异度(82.35%)均衡性最佳,表现出最优的预测效能,以此构建列线图,其在模型预测LC 患者术后胃肠道症状发生率方面提供了中等净获益。Hosmer-Lemeshow拟合优度检验表明,预测模型具有较好的标定能力(χ2=2.176,P=0.693)。结论 本研究构建了基于XGBoost的机器学习列线图模型能有效预测LC术后胃肠道症状风险,结合术前影像与炎症指标可辅助优化手术策略及术后管理。

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    Objective To develop a machine learning predictive model to assess the risk of gastrointestinal symptom occurrence in patients after laparoscopic cholecystectomy (LC) and validate its predictive performance. Methods A retrospective cohort of 96 patients who underwent LC from October 2022 to October 2024 was included, and clinical data were collected. Missing values were handled using multiple imputation. Random forest (RF), support vector machine (SVM), extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), and logistic regression (LR) models were constructed using R language. The model with the highest performance was selected based on area under the curve (AUC), sensitivity, and specificity, and its performance was validated using calibration curves. Results Within 72 h post-operation, 27 patients (28.13%) experienced gastrointestinal symptoms, while 69 patients (71.87%) were asymptomatic. In the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression analysis, five non-zero features were selected, including age, surgery duration, anesthesia duration, gallbladder wall thickness, and preoperative C-reactive protein (CRP). The AUC for the RF, XGBoost, LR, and SVM models were 0.855, 0.893, 0.762, and 0.839, respectively. The XGBoost model showed the best balance between sensitivity (85.71%) and specificity (82.35%), demonstrating the optimal predictive performance. A nomogram was constructed based on this model, providing moderate net benefit in predicting the incidence of gastrointestinal symptoms in postoperative LC patients. The Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test indicated that the predictive model had good calibration ability (χ2=2.176, P=0.693). Conclusion The XGBoost-based machine learning nomogram effectively predicts the risk of gastrointestinal symptoms after LC. Integrating preoperative imaging and inflammatory indicators can assist in optimizing surgical strategies and postoperative management.

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万文静.腹腔镜胆囊切除术后患者胃肠道症状的机器学习模型构建及验证[J].生物医学工程学进展,2026,(1):1-5

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  • 收稿日期:2025-04-07
  • 最后修改日期:2025-04-21
  • 录用日期:2025-04-21
  • 在线发布日期: 2026-04-14
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